Model Predictions
| Model | Phoenix Suns | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.9% | 69.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.2% | 72.8% | +5.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +3 (128-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Phoenix Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikal Bridges * | 40 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13 | - | - | |
| Chris Paul * | 40 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 5-10 | 4 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Deandre Ayton * | 37 | 9-18 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | - | - | |
| Torrey Craig * | 35 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Devin Booker * | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Landry Shamet | 38 | 10-20 | 7-17 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Damion Lee | 30 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bismack Biyombo | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Ish Wainright | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Okogie | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 44 | 16-25 | 2-4 | 7-9 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 41 | - | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 43 | 7-19 | 5-11 | 7-8 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 26 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 41 | 11-18 | 1-2 | 5-9 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 28 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 38 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 34 | 3-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 26 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 14 | 1-6 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter