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2022-12-26

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 18.2% 81.8% -
Bradley-Terry 38.3% 61.7% -
Margin 36.1% 63.9% +3.1 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% -
Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 49.4% 50.6% -
Log Adjusted 49.4% 50.6% -
Points Off/Def 45.2% 54.8% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors +14 (123-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 40 15-29 2-10 4-7 7 8 1 0 36 - -
Dillon Brooks * 30 4-12 1-6 4-5 3 1 0 0 13 - -
Desmond Bane * 24 2-13 0-7 5-6 3 0 0 1 9 - -
Steven Adams * 21 2-6 0-0 2-2 14 1 0 1 6 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 20 5-7 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 2 11 - -
Brandon Clarke 26 4-5 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 0 9 - -
Santi Aldama 20 3-7 3-6 0-2 2 2 0 1 9 - -
John Konchar 20 0-6 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 - -
Tyus Jones 20 3-4 1-1 6-6 1 5 1 0 13 - -
Ziaire Williams 14 1-5 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Klay Thompson * 39 8-25 3-12 5-5 9 4 0 0 24 - -
Draymond Green * 35 1-3 1-1 0-0 13 13 1 2 3 - -
Donte DiVincenzo * 31 7-12 5-9 0-0 3 3 1 0 19 - -
Jordan Poole * 29 11-25 3-10 7-8 3 2 0 0 32 - -
Kevon Looney * 22 1-3 0-0 1-4 5 4 1 1 3 - -
Ty Jerome 22 6-9 2-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 14 - -
Anthony Lamb 17 4-5 3-4 0-0 3 1 2 1 11 - -
Moses Moody 17 4-7 1-3 1-1 2 0 0 0 10 - -
Jonathan Kuminga 16 1-2 0-1 5-8 4 3 0 1 7 - -
James Wiseman 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter