Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +21 (139-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jrue Holiday * | 36 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 35 | 9-22 | 1-5 | 8-12 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 31 | 7-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Pat Connaughton * | 29 | 5-9 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Joe Ingles | 19 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jevon Carter | 12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sandro Mamukelashvili | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Brown * | 37 | 11-19 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Jayson Tatum * | 35 | 14-22 | 3-7 | 10-10 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 41 | - | - | |
| Derrick White * | 30 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Al Horford * | 29 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Marcus Smart * | 29 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Grant Williams | 25 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Malcolm Brogdon | 16 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Robert Williams III | 13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Sam Hauser | 7 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Blake Griffin | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Luke Kornet | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Payton Pritchard | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter