Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.2% | 57.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +9 (124-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 34 | 13-23 | 0-4 | 12-12 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 38 | - | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 28 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 27 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Thomas Bryant * | 18 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Austin Reaves | 28 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 24 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 18 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Wenyen Gabriel | 17 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Max Christie | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Damian Jones | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 40 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 9-16 | 2-3 | 12-16 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 38 | 10-19 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 37 | 12-17 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 30 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 34 | 5-8 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 13 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 11 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyler Dorsey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter