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2022-12-25

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 48.7% 51.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 27.4% 72.6% - ✗
Margin 21.5% 78.5% +7.1 ✗ (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.2% 51.8% - ✗
Efficiency 51.1% 48.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 51.8% 48.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 51.8% 48.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 46.7% 53.3% - ✗

Actual: New York Knicks -7 (112-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
James Harden * 43 7-16 5-11 10-11 4 13 4 1 29 - -
Tobias Harris * 36 4-10 0-5 0-0 6 2 0 0 8 - -
Joel Embiid * 33 12-22 1-2 10-15 8 1 0 0 35 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 27 5-8 5-7 0-0 3 1 1 0 15 - -
P.J. Tucker * 23 2-2 1-1 1-1 1 1 0 0 6 - -
Shake Milton 23 3-5 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 8 - -
Georges Niang 22 6-11 4-9 0-0 2 0 0 1 16 - -
Montrezl Harrell 14 0-2 0-1 2-2 4 1 0 0 2 - -
Danuel House Jr. 10 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
Matisse Thybulle 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 42 6-21 2-6 3-4 10 4 0 0 17 - -
Julius Randle * 40 12-24 4-9 7-7 8 4 2 1 35 - -
Quentin Grimes * 38 4-9 2-7 0-0 3 6 1 1 10 - -
Jalen Brunson * 35 10-19 2-5 1-2 3 11 0 0 23 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 28 4-5 0-0 2-2 16 4 1 3 10 - -
Immanuel Quickley 21 4-7 2-5 1-2 1 1 0 1 11 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Jericho Sims 12 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 4 - -
Miles McBride 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter