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2022-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 32.6% 67.4% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 14.9% 85.1% +9.6 (23.6 off)
Pythagorean 41.5% 58.5% -
Efficiency 32.2% 67.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Log Adjusted 33.1% 66.9% -
Points Off/Def 34.1% 65.9% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings -14 (111-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kyle Kuzma * 37 14-23 2-8 2-3 9 5 2 0 32 25 -
Bradley Beal * 34 10-16 2-4 2-3 1 4 1 0 24 14 -
Kristaps Porzingis * 34 2-11 0-3 3-5 13 1 1 2 7 13 -
Monte Morris * 32 4-7 2-5 6-6 2 5 3 0 16 19 -
Daniel Gafford * 20 2-2 0-0 2-3 3 2 0 2 6 11 -
Rui Hachimura 26 9-15 3-7 0-0 5 4 0 0 21 15 -
Corey Kispert 25 4-7 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 9 8 -
Delon Wright 15 0-1 0-0 2-2 1 8 1 0 2 11 -
Taj Gibson 13 4-6 0-1 0-2 2 0 0 0 8 4 -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 37 4-13 2-7 1-2 5 0 0 0 11 3 -
Domantas Sabonis * 34 5-14 0-2 10-10 15 10 0 0 20 31 -
De'Aaron Fox * 34 9-16 0-3 8-13 7 3 1 1 26 22 -
Kevin Huerter * 23 5-10 2-5 2-3 2 0 0 0 14 6 -
Keegan Murray * 22 1-8 1-4 0-0 4 1 1 0 3 1 -
Malik Monk 26 4-11 2-6 6-6 5 4 2 0 16 16 -
Trey Lyles 22 6-6 2-2 0-1 4 1 1 1 14 15 -
Davion Mitchell 16 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 4 -
Richaun Holmes 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
Terence Davis 4 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Neemias Queta 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
KZ Okpala 3 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Chimezie Metu 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter