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2022-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% -
Bradley-Terry 40.4% 59.6% -
Margin 46.6% 53.4% +0.7 (25.7 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 53.2% 46.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.2% 52.8% -
Log Adjusted 47.2% 52.8% -
Points Off/Def 43.6% 56.4% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -25 (100-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ja Morant * 28 4-14 0-2 4-6 5 11 0 0 12 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 27 9-17 1-4 5-6 10 1 1 2 24 - -
Dillon Brooks * 25 7-9 1-1 1-1 0 2 2 0 16 - -
Desmond Bane * 24 4-13 2-8 7-7 3 2 1 0 17 - -
Steven Adams * 22 3-5 0-0 0-4 11 2 1 1 6 - -
Ziaire Williams 23 3-5 0-1 0-0 2 2 1 0 6 - -
Brandon Clarke 21 7-10 0-0 10-10 10 0 2 0 24 - -
Santi Aldama 20 4-7 2-2 0-2 4 1 0 2 10 - -
John Konchar 18 0-1 0-1 1-2 3 4 2 0 1 - -
Tyus Jones 15 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 - -
Jake LaRavia 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
David Roddy 4 2-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Xavier Tillman 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Landry Shamet * 31 6-16 3-10 0-0 5 3 1 0 15 - -
Mikal Bridges * 28 2-7 0-2 1-2 2 3 0 0 5 - -
Chris Paul * 24 5-8 0-1 0-0 2 3 0 0 10 - -
Deandre Ayton * 21 9-12 0-1 0-2 5 0 0 0 18 - -
Torrey Craig * 18 2-7 2-6 2-2 2 0 2 0 8 - -
Josh Okogie 24 3-5 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 7 - -
Bismack Biyombo 21 3-3 0-0 0-3 4 2 2 4 6 - -
Damion Lee 21 2-4 1-2 5-5 2 2 0 0 10 - -
Duane Washington Jr. 19 5-15 2-5 2-4 3 5 0 0 14 - -
Ish Wainright 15 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 0 0 1 3 - -
Jock Landale 10 0-6 0-2 4-6 4 2 1 0 4 - -
Dario Saric 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter