Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.5% | 65.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.9% | 75.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | +8.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.1% | 72.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +13 (120-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 38 | 10-22 | 4-11 | 10-10 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 34 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 38 | 6-22 | 1-10 | 1-2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 37 | 6-8 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 37 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 21 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 10 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 39 | 9-17 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 12-21 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 29 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 34 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Michael Porter Jr. * | 26 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown | 27 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 16 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter