Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | +5.7 | ✗ (11.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.1% | 26.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 68.2% | 31.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -6 (106-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 42 | 17-30 | 6-12 | 10-12 | 8 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 50 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 37 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 32 | 2-13 | 0-7 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 26 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 17 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 13 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 12 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 38 | 6-17 | 0-4 | 11-12 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 33 | 10-17 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 31 | 5-13 | 1-7 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. * | 29 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 26 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 20 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Garrison Mathews | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 12 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Christopher | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter