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2022-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 32.0% 68.0% -
Bradley-Terry 24.6% 75.4% -
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.8 (20.8 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% -
Efficiency 34.7% 65.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.7% 66.3% -
Log Adjusted 33.7% 66.3% -
Points Off/Def 34.9% 65.1% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -11 (107-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 41 9-22 2-5 6-8 7 9 2 1 26 - -
Scottie Barnes * 40 10-16 0-1 5-5 10 4 2 0 25 - -
Fred VanVleet * 38 5-12 5-10 3-3 8 4 1 1 18 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 37 10-17 6-9 0-0 9 2 2 0 26 - -
Juancho Hernangomez * 23 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Malachi Flynn 22 3-7 3-6 0-0 3 3 1 0 9 - -
Gary Trent Jr. 19 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 1 2 0 8 - -
Thaddeus Young 15 1-1 0-0 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Donovan Mitchell * 34 4-16 3-12 1-4 5 4 3 0 12 - -
Evan Mobley * 32 5-7 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 1 10 - -
Darius Garland * 30 6-13 2-5 3-3 1 8 1 0 17 - -
Jarrett Allen * 27 5-6 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 0 11 - -
Isaac Okoro * 19 4-6 2-4 5-6 3 2 0 2 15 - -
Cedi Osman 21 5-9 0-3 3-5 1 2 1 0 13 - -
Caris LeVert 20 3-4 1-2 1-2 0 2 2 0 8 - -
Kevin Love 19 3-5 3-4 4-5 5 1 0 1 13 - -
Lamar Stevens 14 3-6 0-2 0-3 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Raul Neto 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 3 1 0 0 - -
Robin Lopez 9 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

* = starter