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2022-12-24

Model Predictions

Model Minnesota Timberwolves Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 36.9% 63.1% -
Bradley-Terry 31.8% 68.2% -
Margin 25.5% 74.5% +5.9 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% -
Efficiency 25.3% 74.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% -
Log Adjusted 25.2% 74.8% -
Points Off/Def 29.1% 70.9% -

Actual: Boston Celtics +12 (121-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Edwards * 39 13-25 3-10 1-1 6 4 0 2 30 - -
Jaden McDaniels * 38 7-15 1-3 2-3 6 4 2 3 17 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 38 6-13 3-7 6-7 7 10 0 1 21 - -
Rudy Gobert * 35 3-4 0-0 2-4 12 2 0 0 8 - -
Austin Rivers * 25 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Naz Reid 25 6-10 2-4 0-0 5 2 0 2 14 - -
Jaylen Nowell 22 6-17 1-7 0-0 5 2 0 0 13 - -
Bryn Forbes 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Wendell Moore Jr. 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Josh Minott 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Nathan Knight 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 - -
Matt Ryan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Luka Garza 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marcus Smart * 37 2-5 2-4 0-0 7 10 3 0 6 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 13-29 3-13 7-10 7 3 1 1 36 - -
Al Horford * 36 6-14 5-10 0-0 11 2 2 3 17 - -
Jayson Tatum * 35 10-22 1-6 9-11 8 5 1 0 30 - -
Derrick White * 32 8-13 0-3 2-3 5 3 0 2 18 - -
Grant Williams 22 2-7 2-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 16 2-4 0-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 6 - -
Luke Kornet 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 2 - -
Sam Hauser 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 - -
Noah Vonleh 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Justin Jackson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Payton Pritchard 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter