Model Predictions
| Model | Detroit Pistons | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | -0.6 | ✗ (25.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 21.2% | 78.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +25 (130-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Detroit Pistons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Killian Hayes * | 31 | 7-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bojan Bogdanovic * | 30 | 8-20 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Jalen Duren * | 28 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jaden Ivey * | 28 | 5-14 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Stewart * | 27 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Saddiq Bey | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alec Burks | 20 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Marvin Bagley III | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kevin Knox II | 16 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Hamidou Diallo | 9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Cory Joseph | 5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 36 | 10-18 | 3-8 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| Trae Young * | 31 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 5-8 | 2 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 26 | - | - | |
| John Collins * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 26 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Clint Capela * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic | 33 | 7-18 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 20 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Justin Holiday | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Tyrese Martin | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter