Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Orlando Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.5% | 65.5% | +3.5 | ✓ (16.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Magic +20 (133-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 30 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 5-9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 27 | 6-15 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 26 | 7-10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan * | 25 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 21 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 21 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 19 | 4-12 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 18 | 2-10 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 17 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner * | 31 | 7-15 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Paolo Banchero * | 29 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol * | 23 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 30 | 8-10 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Gary Harris | 20 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Wendell Carter Jr. | 18 | 4-9 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 18 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Caleb Houstan | 5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| R.J. Hampton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
* = starter