Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | New Orleans Pelicans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 57.3% | 42.7% | -1.6 | ✗ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 12.7% | 87.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +9 (126-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Sochan * | 31 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 7-10 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell * | 30 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 27 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 21 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Romeo Langford * | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson | 21 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 21 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Zach Collins | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 16 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 12 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
New Orleans Pelicans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ McCollum * | 37 | 14-27 | 7-14 | 5-5 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 40 | - | - | |
| Herbert Jones * | 34 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Trey Murphy III * | 27 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Jonas Valanciunas * | 25 | 6-14 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Naji Marshall * | 24 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Jose Alvarado | 24 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Willy Hernangomez | 22 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 7-7 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dyson Daniels | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jaxson Hayes | 12 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Devonte' Graham | 8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Garrett Temple | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter