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2022-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Sacramento Kings Spread Result
Elo 48.5% 51.5% -
Bradley-Terry 50.4% 49.6% -
Margin 42.9% 57.1% +1.6 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.9% 66.1% -
Log Adjusted 33.8% 66.2% -
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Sacramento Kings +14 (134-120). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Patrick Beverley * 37 5-7 1-2 2-2 2 3 3 1 13 - -
Lonnie Walker IV * 36 6-13 3-6 4-4 5 1 2 1 19 - -
LeBron James * 34 11-21 0-4 9-10 6 11 0 2 31 - -
Dennis Schroder * 29 6-13 2-4 4-6 1 3 0 0 18 - -
Thomas Bryant * 28 6-9 2-2 3-4 10 4 1 0 17 - -
Max Christie 26 2-3 2-2 0-0 4 3 0 0 6 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 15 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 7 - -
Troy Brown Jr. 14 2-7 1-3 2-2 5 0 0 0 7 - -
Kendrick Nunn 11 0-6 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Damian Jones 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 37 4-8 1-2 4-4 21 12 1 0 13 - -
Keegan Murray * 34 7-17 6-12 3-4 3 1 1 0 23 - -
Harrison Barnes * 33 8-15 3-7 1-3 8 1 0 0 20 - -
Kevin Huerter * 32 9-14 3-7 5-5 5 1 3 0 26 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 30 7-13 0-3 8-9 4 6 0 0 22 - -
Malik Monk 18 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 6 0 0 2 - -
Davion Mitchell 16 3-6 2-5 0-0 0 1 1 0 8 - -
Terence Davis 15 1-6 1-5 0-0 1 1 0 2 3 - -
Neemias Queta 10 5-5 0-0 0-2 3 0 0 0 10 - -
Trey Lyles 8 3-8 1-5 0-1 0 0 0 0 7 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
KZ Okpala 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter