Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.6% | 93.4% | +14.6 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +3 (101-98). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 6-19 | 2-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 35 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 34 | 5-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 29 | 4-11 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 12 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 22 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 19 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luguentz Dort * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander * | 35 | 8-19 | 0-3 | 11-13 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Josh Giddey * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jalen Williams * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Aleksej Pokusevski * | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kenrich Williams | 26 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Mike Muscala | 20 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Joe | 17 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Aaron Wiggins | 9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lindy Waters III | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Eugene Omoruyi | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter