Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves -5 (99-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 41 | 6-13 | 4-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 37 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 8-9 | 9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 35 | 6-13 | 4-10 | 5-7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 34 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 27 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert * | 38 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 37 | 11-21 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 23 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 37 | 4-13 | 0-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 36 | 8-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 32 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 26 | 2-12 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Naz Reid | 12 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter