Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.7% | 73.3% | +5.5 | ✗ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -6 (110-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 32 | 9-20 | 1-4 | 4-8 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 31 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Moritz Wagner * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bol Bol * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 22 | 5-13 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 20 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 19 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 15 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevon Harris | 15 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 35 | 8-17 | 4-11 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 35 | 12-19 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 31 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 32 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 31 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 27 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 28 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 20 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 12 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter