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2022-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors New York Knicks Spread Result
Elo 45.9% 54.1% -
Bradley-Terry 29.5% 70.5% -
Margin 23.4% 76.6% +6.5 (13.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -
Efficiency 42.4% 57.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.8% 58.2% -
Log Adjusted 41.8% 58.2% -
Points Off/Def 39.9% 60.1% -

Actual: New York Knicks -7 (106-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 41 17-25 2-6 16-18 9 7 1 0 52 - -
Fred VanVleet * 40 10-24 4-10 4-4 1 4 3 1 28 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 36 7-15 1-6 0-0 6 1 0 1 15 - -
Juancho Hernangomez * 27 2-4 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 4 - -
Scottie Barnes * 26 1-10 0-2 0-0 6 3 0 0 2 - -
Malachi Flynn 25 3-8 2-5 0-0 0 2 0 1 8 - -
Thaddeus Young 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 7 0 3 0 2 - -
Chris Boucher 12 1-4 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 - -
Christian Koloko 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

New York Knicks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
RJ Barrett * 45 11-19 4-6 4-6 5 5 1 0 30 - -
Julius Randle * 40 13-17 0-3 4-9 13 4 0 0 30 - -
Jalen Brunson * 39 3-14 0-3 1-1 3 12 0 0 7 - -
Immanuel Quickley * 34 7-10 6-9 0-0 2 1 0 0 20 - -
Mitchell Robinson * 25 4-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 3 10 - -
Isaiah Hartenstein 22 1-5 0-1 0-0 7 0 0 0 2 - -
Miles McBride 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 5 - -
Jericho Sims 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 - -
Derrick Rose 7 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter