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2022-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 11.2% 88.8% -
Bradley-Terry 24.4% 75.6% -
Margin 12.3% 87.7% +10.8 (15.8 off)
Pythagorean 36.8% 63.2% -
Efficiency 18.0% 82.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% -
Log Adjusted 19.4% 80.6% -
Points Off/Def 24.3% 75.7% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -5 (112-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Nembhard * 34 4-9 0-1 0-0 5 5 1 1 8 - -
Tyrese Haliburton * 34 12-24 6-13 3-4 3 8 1 0 33 - -
Buddy Hield * 29 3-7 2-3 0-0 5 5 1 1 8 - -
Aaron Nesmith * 27 6-13 1-5 2-2 6 3 2 0 15 - -
Myles Turner * 26 4-8 1-2 1-1 6 3 1 0 10 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 23 3-9 1-4 0-0 4 0 1 0 7 - -
Jalen Smith 21 3-6 2-4 0-0 9 1 0 1 8 - -
Oshae Brissett 16 3-5 1-2 1-2 5 0 1 0 8 - -
Chris Duarte 14 5-10 4-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 14 - -
T.J. McConnell 10 3-7 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 6 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 41 13-25 4-11 11-13 5 4 2 1 41 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 8-23 1-5 2-2 10 2 1 0 19 - -
Al Horford * 28 2-6 2-5 0-0 6 4 1 1 6 - -
Derrick White * 26 0-7 0-3 2-2 6 3 1 1 2 - -
Payton Pritchard * 17 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 3 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 29 5-13 2-7 6-8 4 7 2 0 18 - -
Robert Williams III 22 3-5 0-0 0-0 12 2 1 1 6 - -
Sam Hauser 17 4-8 2-4 0-0 6 0 2 1 10 - -
Grant Williams 15 3-8 1-3 0-0 6 0 1 0 7 - -
Luke Kornet 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter