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2022-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Milwaukee Bucks Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 24.8% 75.2% -
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% -
Margin 20.1% 79.9% +7.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 40.0% 60.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.7% 62.3% -
Log Adjusted 37.6% 62.4% -
Points Off/Def 37.4% 62.6% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +8 (114-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Giannis Antetokounmpo * 39 17-27 0-1 11-16 14 4 1 2 45 39 -
Jrue Holiday * 37 3-12 1-4 2-3 9 8 2 2 9 18 -
Grayson Allen * 34 2-7 2-3 0-0 3 3 1 0 6 6 -
Brook Lopez * 27 5-7 2-3 2-3 6 2 2 1 14 18 -
MarJon Beauchamp * 20 4-7 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 11 5 -
Jevon Carter 22 2-8 2-6 0-0 4 1 0 0 6 3 -
Bobby Portis 19 3-7 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 6 7 -
Pat Connaughton 19 2-5 2-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 6 4 -
Joe Ingles 16 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 1 -
Wesley Matthews 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 39 8-10 0-0 3-4 8 3 1 0 19 21 -
Donovan Mitchell * 36 9-21 3-9 15-16 4 6 2 0 36 27 -
Darius Garland * 36 9-19 2-5 3-4 4 2 1 0 23 11 -
Isaac Okoro * 25 3-6 2-4 0-0 3 3 1 0 8 9 -
Evan Mobley * 23 3-7 0-3 1-2 3 1 1 1 7 6 -
Caris LeVert 32 3-10 0-3 0-0 6 1 1 2 6 6 -
Kevin Love 29 3-7 3-6 0-0 9 5 0 0 9 16 -
Cedi Osman 16 3-5 0-2 0-2 0 1 1 0 6 3 -

* = starter