Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.2% | 67.8% | +4.1 | ✓ (9.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +14 (105-91). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 38 | 12-26 | 3-6 | 8-10 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 35 | - | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 29 | 5-14 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 21 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | - | - | |
| John Konchar * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 29 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| David Roddy | 22 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kennedy Chandler | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 37 | 6-12 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 13 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 37 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 35 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Christian Braun * | 28 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 27 | 9-16 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 | - | - | |
| Jeff Green | 24 | 4-7 | 0-3 | 1-6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 19 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 15 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Davon Reed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Ish Smith | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter