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2022-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Washington Wizards Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 9.2% 90.8% -
Bradley-Terry 19.9% 80.1% -
Margin 10.8% 89.2% +11.6 (14.6 off)
Pythagorean 42.6% 57.4% -
Efficiency 36.3% 63.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% -
Log Adjusted 35.5% 64.5% -
Points Off/Def 35.9% 64.1% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns -3 (110-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington Wizards

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Deni Avdija * 36 4-8 2-5 6-6 10 4 0 1 16 23 -
Kyle Kuzma * 36 10-19 5-10 4-6 6 6 2 0 29 24 -
Monte Morris * 36 4-10 1-2 0-1 2 3 3 1 9 8 -
Bradley Beal * 35 8-20 0-2 11-14 6 6 1 1 27 21 -
Daniel Gafford * 29 5-6 0-0 2-6 9 1 1 0 12 17 -
Corey Kispert 18 2-5 1-3 1-2 2 0 0 0 6 3 -
Taj Gibson 18 2-2 0-0 2-2 2 1 2 1 6 10 -
Will Barton 17 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 6 3 -
Jordan Goodwin 11 1-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mikal Bridges * 39 4-11 1-4 1-2 3 3 0 0 10 5 -
Chris Paul * 35 3-11 1-3 5-7 4 11 2 0 12 18 -
Deandre Ayton * 32 12-20 0-0 6-6 13 0 0 1 30 24 -
Torrey Craig * 30 3-7 0-2 0-0 8 2 0 0 6 9 -
Damion Lee * 17 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
Landry Shamet 35 10-21 9-16 2-2 2 5 0 0 31 17 -
Ish Wainright 21 1-5 0-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 3 -
Bismack Biyombo 15 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 7 9 -
Duane Washington Jr. 12 4-8 2-4 0-0 2 3 0 0 10 7 -

* = starter