Model Predictions
| Model | Chicago Bulls | Miami Heat | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.7% | 64.3% | +3.2 | ✗ (13.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Miami Heat -10 (103-113). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Chicago Bulls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeMar DeRozan * | 39 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 20 | - | |
| Nikola Vucevic * | 37 | 13-17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 29 | 27 | - | |
| Zach LaVine * | 36 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 4-5 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 21 | 22 | - | |
| Patrick Williams * | 31 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Alex Caruso * | 22 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - | |
| Coby White | 23 | 3-10 | 3-8 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | - | |
| Goran Dragic | 20 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Derrick Jones Jr. | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Andre Drummond | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | |
| Ayo Dosunmu | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
Miami Heat
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Herro * | 42 | 7-16 | 4-11 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 19 | 15 | - | |
| Haywood Highsmith * | 40 | 7-10 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| Bam Adebayo * | 36 | 12-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 12 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 30 | - | |
| Victor Oladipo * | 34 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - | |
| Max Strus * | 29 | 1-9 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Duncan Robinson | 36 | 4-12 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - | |
| Dewayne Dedmon | 9 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| Jamal Cain | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - | |
| Nikola Jovic | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Orlando Robinson | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter