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2022-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 16.4% 83.6% -
Bradley-Terry 42.4% 57.6% -
Margin 34.2% 65.8% +3.6 (22.4 off)
Pythagorean 42.8% 57.2% -
Efficiency 42.7% 57.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.3% 63.7% -
Log Adjusted 36.2% 63.8% -
Points Off/Def 36.1% 63.9% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +26 (130-104). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lonnie Walker IV * 30 5-13 3-6 3-3 4 2 1 1 16 - -
Dennis Schroder * 29 12-19 2-2 4-4 4 4 0 0 30 - -
Thomas Bryant * 26 6-12 2-5 2-3 5 1 1 0 16 - -
Patrick Beverley * 23 4-8 0-2 1-1 1 3 0 0 9 - -
Troy Brown Jr. * 21 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 - -
Max Christie 27 1-9 0-3 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 - -
Wenyen Gabriel 26 2-5 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 4 - -
Damian Jones 21 1-3 0-1 1-2 7 0 0 3 3 - -
Kendrick Nunn 19 6-12 3-6 2-2 1 0 1 0 17 - -
Scotty Pippen Jr. 14 1-5 1-2 1-2 2 1 1 1 4 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damion Lee * 37 5-12 5-10 0-0 6 2 0 0 15 - -
Torrey Craig * 31 6-7 4-4 1-2 8 4 2 0 17 - -
Chris Paul * 31 9-18 3-5 7-8 4 8 2 0 28 - -
Mikal Bridges * 30 7-16 2-6 4-5 1 2 1 1 20 - -
Deandre Ayton * 25 9-11 1-1 2-4 11 0 0 1 21 - -
Landry Shamet 29 4-12 3-7 2-2 3 2 1 1 13 - -
Ish Wainright 22 3-6 2-5 0-0 5 2 2 0 8 - -
Bismack Biyombo 17 0-2 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 2 0 - -
Josh Okogie 9 1-5 0-1 1-2 3 0 1 0 3 - -
Dario Saric 4 2-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 5 - -

* = starter