Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Minnesota Timberwolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Timberwolves +10 (116-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 37 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock * | 32 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 28 | 5-17 | 3-8 | 6-7 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 27 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 26 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker | 23 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 7-7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 16 | 6-9 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Minnesota Timberwolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naz Reid * | 39 | 11-19 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Anthony Edwards * | 37 | 7-21 | 3-6 | 10-11 | 13 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 27 | - | - | |
| Jaden McDaniels * | 37 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Austin Rivers * | 36 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| D'Angelo Russell * | 35 | 4-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Jaylen Nowell | 25 | 6-10 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 18 | - | - | |
| Bryn Forbes | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nathan Knight | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Wendell Moore Jr. | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Luka Garza | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Josh Minott | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Matt Ryan | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter