Model Predictions
| Model | San Antonio Spurs | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.8% | 78.2% | +7.0 | ✗ (26.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -19 (105-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin Vassell * | 28 | 10-17 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 26 | 19 | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 27 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 15 | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 26 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Jakob Poeltl * | 22 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Romeo Langford * | 19 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 23 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 22 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - | |
| Zach Collins | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 21 | 6-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 19 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Charles Bassey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 30 | 4-14 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 26 | 6-16 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 23 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - | |
| Tari Eason | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 23 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 19 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 14 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 4 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter