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2022-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Atlanta Hawks Spread Result
Elo 42.4% 57.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 45.0% 55.0% - โœ“
Margin 45.0% 55.0% +1.1 โœ“ (0.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.7% 57.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 36.2% 63.8% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 35.7% 64.3% - โœ“

Actual: Atlanta Hawks +1 (126-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 34 7-15 1-4 3-4 4 7 1 2 18 - -
Franz Wagner * 34 6-18 2-6 5-5 7 2 1 1 19 - -
Markelle Fultz * 33 11-19 2-3 0-0 6 9 1 0 24 - -
Moritz Wagner * 29 5-10 1-5 5-5 10 2 2 1 16 - -
Bol Bol * 22 3-6 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 1 6 - -
Terrence Ross 25 5-11 2-7 2-2 0 3 0 0 14 - -
Cole Anthony 20 1-5 0-1 6-6 3 4 1 1 8 - -
Mo Bamba 18 4-6 2-4 1-2 4 2 1 0 11 - -
Admiral Schofield 13 3-5 2-4 1-1 7 0 0 1 9 - -
Kevon Harris 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

Atlanta Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dejounte Murray * 37 7-18 1-7 2-2 5 3 2 0 17 - -
Trae Young * 36 11-22 3-7 12-12 3 13 0 0 37 - -
De'Andre Hunter * 35 6-11 3-6 1-2 4 2 1 0 16 - -
Bogdan Bogdanovic * 34 4-12 2-8 0-0 4 2 1 0 10 - -
John Collins * 20 5-7 0-0 2-2 7 3 1 0 12 - -
Onyeka Okongwu 27 5-7 0-0 1-2 8 0 0 2 11 - -
AJ Griffin 25 8-13 3-4 0-0 7 2 1 0 19 - -
Jalen Johnson 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 - -
Aaron Holiday 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 4 - -

* = starter