Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Magic | Atlanta Hawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | +1.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.4% | 61.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Atlanta Hawks +1 (126-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Orlando Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paolo Banchero * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - | |
| Franz Wagner * | 34 | 6-18 | 2-6 | 5-5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - | |
| Markelle Fultz * | 33 | 11-19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 21 | - | |
| Moritz Wagner * | 29 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 21 | - | |
| Bol Bol * | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Terrence Ross | 25 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 6 | - | |
| Cole Anthony | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - | |
| Mo Bamba | 18 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - | |
| Admiral Schofield | 13 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - | |
| Kevon Harris | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dejounte Murray * | 37 | 7-18 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 | 9 | - | |
| Trae Young * | 36 | 11-22 | 3-7 | 12-12 | 3 | 13 | 0 | 0 | 37 | 31 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 35 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 34 | 4-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| John Collins * | 20 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 14 | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 25 | 8-13 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 16 | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter