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2022-12-20

Model Predictions

Model Toronto Raptors Philadelphia 76ers Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 45.4% 54.6% -
Margin 43.5% 56.5% +1.4 (1.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.1% 55.9% -
Efficiency 38.4% 61.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 37.1% 62.9% -
Log Adjusted 37.1% 62.9% -
Points Off/Def 36.6% 63.4% -

Actual: Philadelphia 76ers +3 (104-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 47 13-27 3-8 9-11 15 6 1 0 38 - -
Fred VanVleet * 41 3-15 2-11 1-1 6 3 0 1 9 - -
O.G. Anunoby * 40 4-10 3-7 2-4 4 3 2 1 13 - -
Scottie Barnes * 29 3-9 0-3 0-0 3 3 0 0 6 - -
Juancho Hernangomez * 14 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 7 - -
Chris Boucher 30 4-6 1-3 4-4 10 2 2 0 13 - -
Khem Birch 23 1-3 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 2 - -
Thaddeus Young 19 4-7 0-2 0-0 5 2 0 0 8 - -
Malachi Flynn 18 2-7 1-4 0-0 1 3 0 0 5 - -

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tobias Harris * 42 7-9 5-7 2-2 4 1 1 0 21 - -
Joel Embiid * 42 6-16 2-3 14-15 11 4 2 0 28 - -
De'Anthony Melton * 41 3-14 2-11 0-0 7 1 1 0 8 - -
James Harden * 41 5-14 1-6 3-3 7 8 1 0 14 - -
P.J. Tucker * 39 1-6 1-5 2-2 6 2 1 1 5 - -
Shake Milton 18 2-7 0-2 0-0 1 3 0 0 4 - -
Georges Niang 11 1-3 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 5 - -
Montrezl Harrell 10 3-4 0-0 1-2 1 1 2 0 7 - -
Danuel House Jr. 10 3-4 2-3 1-1 2 1 0 0 9 - -
Matisse Thybulle 6 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -

* = starter