Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Hornets | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.4% | 89.6% | +11.9 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +4 (119-115). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LaMelo Ball * | 35 | 10-21 | 4-9 | 7-7 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 21 | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - | |
| P.J. Washington * | 31 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - | |
| Terry Rozier * | 14 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 34 | 7-18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 3 | - | |
| Nick Richards | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 13 | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels | 19 | 5-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 12 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| JT Thor | 10 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Kai Jones | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 39 | 13-26 | 2-4 | 12-17 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 40 | 53 | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 36 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 34 | 2-11 | 0-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 32 | 8-15 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 28 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 5-7 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 20 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 16 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | -1 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter