Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 60.6% | 39.4% | -2.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -16 (110-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draymond Green * | 36 | 7-15 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Klay Thompson * | 34 | 6-14 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Jordan Poole * | 34 | 14-23 | 5-11 | 10-11 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 43 | - | - | |
| Donte DiVincenzo * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kevon Looney * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Ty Jerome | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| JaMychal Green | 17 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Anthony Lamb | 14 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Moses Moody | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jonathan Kuminga | 5 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ryan Rollins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| James Wiseman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Siakam * | 36 | 9-20 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 27 | - | - | |
| Fred VanVleet * | 34 | 7-18 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 22 | - | - | |
| Scottie Barnes * | 31 | 7-16 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Juancho Hernangomez * | 23 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Christian Koloko * | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - | - | |
| Malachi Flynn | 37 | 6-16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Chris Boucher | 24 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Thaddeus Young | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Dalano Banton | 12 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Khem Birch | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter