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2022-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Brooklyn Nets Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 7.5% 92.5% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 24.1% 75.9% - ✗
Margin 16.4% 83.6% +8.9 ✗ (11.9 off)
Pythagorean 58.9% 41.1% - ✓
Efficiency 75.6% 24.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 71.0% 29.0% - ✓
Log Adjusted 71.0% 29.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 60.0% 40.0% - ✓

Actual: Detroit Pistons -3 (121-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brooklyn Nets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kevin Durant * 36 14-22 3-5 12-13 6 2 1 2 43 - -
Kyrie Irving * 34 13-23 5-10 7-8 6 3 1 0 38 - -
Royce O'Neale * 31 4-6 3-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 11 - -
Nic Claxton * 26 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 3 6 - -
Ben Simmons * 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 8 8 1 0 4 - -
Yuta Watanabe 25 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 3 1 2 3 - -
Joe Harris 18 1-4 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 1 3 - -
Edmond Sumner 16 1-4 1-1 2-2 2 5 1 0 5 - -
T.J. Warren 9 3-4 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 6 - -
Seth Curry 9 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Markieff Morris 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Killian Hayes * 30 4-13 0-5 2-2 5 8 2 0 10 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 30 7-16 3-8 9-9 1 4 0 0 26 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 28 2-7 1-3 4-4 7 0 1 1 9 - -
Jalen Duren * 28 4-5 0-0 0-0 11 2 3 0 8 - -
Jaden Ivey * 27 7-11 1-3 4-6 4 1 1 0 19 - -
Alec Burks 21 4-10 2-5 2-3 5 1 1 0 12 - -
Marvin Bagley III 19 5-8 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 1 12 - -
Saddiq Bey 19 4-7 0-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 10 - -
Kevin Knox II 17 3-6 1-3 2-3 3 0 1 0 9 - -
Cory Joseph 15 2-5 0-1 2-2 0 4 0 0 6 - -

* = starter