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2022-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% -
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% -
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 (13.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% -
Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% -
Log Adjusted 19.4% 80.6% -
Points Off/Def 24.6% 75.4% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -3 (92-95). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 33 9-21 6-7 7-9 6 3 2 0 31 21 -
Franz Wagner * 31 5-15 1-5 1-1 5 3 0 0 12 5 -
Markelle Fultz * 30 3-10 0-0 2-2 5 5 3 0 8 11 -
Moritz Wagner * 29 2-8 1-4 6-6 6 3 2 0 11 14 -
Bol Bol * 20 5-9 0-1 1-1 8 0 0 0 11 10 -
Cole Anthony 21 3-7 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 7 6 -
Kevon Harris 18 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -
Terrence Ross 18 1-6 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 -1 -
Mo Bamba 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 3 0 9 -
Admiral Schofield 16 5-7 3-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 13 11 -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jaylen Brown * 38 10-25 2-10 2-2 14 2 3 2 24 20 -
Al Horford * 33 3-11 2-9 0-0 6 2 0 1 8 6 -
Grant Williams * 31 4-11 1-6 5-7 6 3 1 0 14 13 -
Derrick White * 30 1-7 0-3 6-6 5 4 1 0 8 11 -
Marcus Smart * 30 5-13 3-7 2-2 7 7 1 0 15 17 -
Malcolm Brogdon 31 3-10 3-6 3-4 6 1 1 1 12 11 -
Robert Williams III 17 3-5 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 6 9 -
Sam Hauser 16 2-5 1-4 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 5 -
Luke Kornet 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 -
Payton Pritchard 3 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter