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2022-12-18

Model Predictions

Model New Orleans Pelicans Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% -
Bradley-Terry 25.5% 74.5% -
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 (4.0 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 47.3% 52.7% -
Log Adjusted 47.3% 52.7% -
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +4 (118-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zion Williamson * 39 12-15 0-1 6-7 3 9 0 1 30 - -
CJ McCollum * 36 11-19 4-7 1-1 2 8 0 1 27 - -
Herbert Jones * 31 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 8 - -
Jonas Valanciunas * 25 6-9 0-1 0-0 8 0 0 1 12 - -
Trey Murphy III * 22 3-8 2-4 0-0 4 2 0 2 8 - -
Dyson Daniels 22 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 5 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 21 0-0 0-0 0-2 6 0 0 0 0 - -
Naji Marshall 17 3-8 3-6 2-2 4 2 0 0 11 - -
Jose Alvarado 14 4-8 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 10 - -
Devonte' Graham 8 1-3 0-2 1-1 3 1 0 0 3 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 42 21-35 6-12 10-15 6 5 0 0 58 - -
Mikal Bridges * 37 5-13 3-9 2-2 3 2 3 0 15 - -
Chris Paul * 35 6-11 5-7 1-2 5 8 1 0 18 - -
Bismack Biyombo * 31 5-6 0-0 1-4 6 0 0 1 11 - -
Torrey Craig * 19 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 4 1 0 0 - -
Josh Okogie 23 0-3 0-2 7-8 6 1 0 1 7 - -
Jock Landale 16 0-1 0-1 2-2 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Landry Shamet 14 1-6 0-2 2-2 1 3 1 0 4 - -
Damion Lee 13 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Ish Wainright 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter