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2022-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Grizzlies Oklahoma City Thunder Spread Result
Elo 11.9% 88.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 21.0% 79.0% - ✓
Margin 13.5% 86.5% +10.2 ✓ (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% - ✓
Efficiency 55.6% 44.4% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 52.0% 48.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 52.0% 48.0% - ✗
Points Off/Def 46.4% 53.6% - ✓

Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +6 (115-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dillon Brooks * 37 10-24 6-15 6-7 4 1 0 1 32 - -
Jaren Jackson Jr. * 28 3-8 2-6 8-10 8 1 0 0 16 - -
Steven Adams * 28 3-5 0-0 3-5 7 2 2 2 9 - -
John Konchar * 23 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 - -
Ja Morant * 16 3-10 0-3 0-1 5 2 0 0 6 - -
Tyus Jones 33 5-14 2-9 3-4 1 2 2 0 15 - -
David Roddy 19 3-11 1-6 0-1 7 1 1 0 7 - -
Brandon Clarke 19 3-4 0-0 4-4 8 1 0 1 10 - -
Santi Aldama 16 1-5 0-2 5-5 5 1 0 1 7 - -
Ziaire Williams 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Kennedy Chandler 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 - -

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luguentz Dort * 30 8-14 3-4 5-8 7 4 1 0 24 - -
Jalen Williams * 29 0-8 0-2 1-2 2 6 1 0 1 - -
Isaiah Joe * 26 7-12 5-8 4-5 3 0 1 0 23 - -
Aleksej Pokusevski * 22 3-10 2-5 1-2 6 4 0 0 9 - -
Eugene Omoruyi * 16 2-9 0-3 3-4 6 2 1 0 7 - -
Kenrich Williams 31 4-11 2-6 1-3 8 5 1 0 11 - -
Aaron Wiggins 21 4-8 2-5 4-6 7 4 0 0 14 - -
Tre Mann 18 4-10 2-6 1-1 6 1 1 0 11 - -
Lindy Waters III 17 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 - -
Jaylin Williams 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 4 2 1 0 7 - -
Mike Muscala 10 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 - -

* = starter