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2022-12-18

Model Predictions

Model Utah Jazz Milwaukee Bucks Spread Result
Elo 26.9% 73.1% -
Bradley-Terry 22.6% 77.4% -
Margin 15.5% 84.5% +9.3 (16.7 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% -
Efficiency 32.5% 67.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.1% 66.9% -
Log Adjusted 33.1% 66.9% -
Points Off/Def 34.8% 65.2% -

Actual: Milwaukee Bucks +26 (123-97). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah Jazz

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauri Markkanen * 28 7-13 3-6 1-1 4 2 0 0 18 - -
Kelly Olynyk * 27 4-11 2-7 2-2 1 2 2 0 12 - -
Jordan Clarkson * 25 5-10 3-7 0-0 1 3 1 0 13 - -
Mike Conley * 25 2-6 0-3 0-0 1 4 1 0 4 - -
Jarred Vanderbilt * 20 0-4 0-1 0-0 6 3 1 1 0 - -
Malik Beasley 28 6-13 6-10 0-0 3 0 0 0 18 - -
Nickeil Alexander-Walker 18 6-8 2-4 0-1 1 5 0 0 14 - -
Walker Kessler 14 2-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 4 - -
Simone Fontecchio 14 1-4 0-3 0-0 3 1 0 0 2 - -
Rudy Gay 13 2-4 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 4 - -
Talen Horton-Tucker 7 2-5 0-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 4 - -
Ochai Agbaji 7 2-5 0-3 0-2 1 1 0 0 4 - -
Udoka Azubuike 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -
Leandro Bolmaro 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 - -

Milwaukee Bucks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Bobby Portis * 30 9-16 2-5 2-2 14 1 0 0 22 - -
Grayson Allen * 27 6-9 1-2 0-0 4 4 1 0 13 - -
Jrue Holiday * 27 9-16 3-6 0-0 4 8 1 0 21 - -
Brook Lopez * 25 8-15 1-3 1-3 8 1 0 3 18 - -
Jevon Carter * 17 0-4 0-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 - -
Sandro Mamukelashvili 23 1-2 1-1 0-0 8 6 0 0 3 - -
MarJon Beauchamp 19 5-9 4-7 4-4 3 2 1 0 18 - -
Pat Connaughton 16 3-6 2-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 8 - -
George Hill 16 3-4 1-2 2-2 5 3 1 0 9 - -
Wesley Matthews 13 2-4 2-4 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Serge Ibaka 11 1-3 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Jordan Nwora 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 - -
AJ Green 3 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Thanasis Antetokounmpo 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter