Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 19.5% | 80.5% | +7.8 | ✗ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Houston Rockets -12 (95-107). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anfernee Simons * | 33 | 11-21 | 5-14 | 5-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 32 | - | - | |
| Damian Lillard * | 32 | 7-20 | 5-13 | 6-8 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 30 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow * | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 26 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 20 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 17 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Green * | 31 | 5-16 | 0-6 | 5-9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Kevin Porter Jr. * | 29 | 3-10 | 0-6 | 7-9 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Jabari Smith Jr. * | 24 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Alperen Sengun * | 21 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - | - | |
| Eric Gordon * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Kenyon Martin Jr. | 31 | 6-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tari Eason | 23 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Daishen Nix | 16 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| TyTy Washington Jr. | 15 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Usman Garuba | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Bruno Fernando | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Boban Marjanovic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter