Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Cleveland Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.2% | 74.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.0% | 83.0% | +8.7 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +1 (100-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reggie Bullock * | 45 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 43 | 5-14 | 1-8 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood * | 43 | 9-18 | 5-13 | 3-4 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 26 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker * | 41 | 12-25 | 4-13 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 32 | - | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 39 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 21 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-3 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 12 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland * | 43 | 8-18 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 42 | 9-21 | 1-9 | 6-8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 39 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 36 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Isaac Okoro * | 26 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 37 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Cedi Osman | 16 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Kevin Love | 15 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Raul Neto | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter