Model Predictions
| Model | Denver Nuggets | Los Angeles Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.7% | 28.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.9 | ✗ (20.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Lakers +18 (126-108). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Murray * | 35 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 5-7 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - | |
| Nikola Jokic * | 35 | 8-15 | 1-3 | 8-9 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 33 | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 34 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 32 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 17 | 11 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 17 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - | |
| Davon Reed | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 14 | 2-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Ish Smith | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeBron James * | 35 | 13-20 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 30 | 25 | - | |
| Dennis Schroder * | 30 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 9 | - | |
| Patrick Beverley * | 20 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - | |
| Lonnie Walker IV * | 19 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -2 | - | |
| Anthony Davis * | 17 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| Austin Reaves | 29 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 13 | - | |
| Russell Westbrook | 29 | 5-13 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 27 | - | |
| Thomas Bryant | 23 | 9-11 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 19 | - | |
| Max Christie | 15 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Troy Brown Jr. | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | |
| Kendrick Nunn | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Damian Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter