Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.9% | 68.1% | +4.2 | ✓ (15.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +20 (130-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 24 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 9-10 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 24 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 23 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 21 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 21 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 3-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 20 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 29 | 4-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 24 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 18 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Greg Brown III | 12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 28 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Luka Doncic * | 28 | 11-18 | 5-9 | 6-7 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 33 | - | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 26 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 25 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Christian Wood | 29 | 11-17 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 32 | - | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 29 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 27 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Kemba Walker | 13 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| JaVale McGee | 6 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 6 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter