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2022-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Indiana Pacers Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% -
Bradley-Terry 28.4% 71.6% -
Margin 16.0% 84.0% +9.1 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.1% 61.9% -
Efficiency 20.8% 79.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 22.5% 77.5% -
Log Adjusted 22.4% 77.6% -
Points Off/Def 26.9% 73.1% -

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers +6 (118-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Indiana Pacers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyrese Haliburton * 34 5-13 0-8 7-7 0 14 3 1 17 - -
Myles Turner * 30 5-9 2-5 0-0 11 0 0 0 12 - -
Andrew Nembhard * 28 2-5 0-1 1-1 1 2 0 1 5 - -
Buddy Hield * 27 5-9 4-6 0-0 1 5 0 0 14 - -
Jalen Smith * 13 4-6 0-2 1-1 4 1 0 0 9 - -
Aaron Nesmith 29 6-8 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 14 - -
Bennedict Mathurin 29 7-16 2-6 6-8 3 2 1 0 22 - -
Isaiah Jackson 17 5-8 0-1 0-0 6 3 2 2 10 - -
T.J. McConnell 14 2-4 0-1 0-0 2 6 0 0 4 - -
Oshae Brissett 13 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 5 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jarrett Allen * 38 2-3 0-0 3-4 5 2 0 0 7 - -
Donovan Mitchell * 37 14-24 8-15 5-5 1 3 1 0 41 - -
Darius Garland * 35 5-11 2-4 8-8 6 10 2 0 20 - -
Evan Mobley * 31 6-10 1-2 3-4 9 2 0 2 16 - -
Lamar Stevens * 21 0-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 - -
Caris LeVert 26 4-11 2-4 2-4 6 2 0 0 12 - -
Cedi Osman 20 4-7 1-3 5-5 1 2 1 0 14 - -
Kevin Love 19 2-4 0-1 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
Isaac Okoro 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 2 0 2 - -

* = starter