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2022-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Orlando Magic Boston Celtics Spread Result
Elo 24.0% 76.0% -
Bradley-Terry 23.7% 76.3% -
Margin 13.3% 86.7% +10.3 (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 36.1% 63.9% -
Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 19.4% 80.6% -
Log Adjusted 19.4% 80.6% -
Points Off/Def 24.6% 75.4% -

Actual: Boston Celtics -8 (109-117). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Orlando Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Paolo Banchero * 37 5-13 3-6 7-8 5 5 1 0 20 - -
Franz Wagner * 34 6-19 1-7 6-6 4 2 0 0 19 - -
Markelle Fultz * 28 5-10 0-1 2-2 4 4 2 1 12 - -
Moritz Wagner * 23 9-12 1-2 6-6 8 1 1 0 25 - -
Bol Bol * 19 1-5 0-2 2-4 8 0 0 0 4 - -
Cole Anthony 29 7-13 0-5 0-0 5 3 0 0 14 - -
Terrence Ross 27 3-8 1-5 0-0 5 2 1 0 7 - -
Mo Bamba 24 3-7 1-2 1-2 12 1 1 0 8 - -
Admiral Schofield 11 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 - -
Kevon Harris 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 5 - -

Boston Celtics

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jayson Tatum * 38 9-20 2-8 11-12 7 3 2 0 31 - -
Jaylen Brown * 36 7-17 4-10 8-10 4 3 1 2 26 - -
Marcus Smart * 34 3-9 1-7 3-4 1 8 1 1 10 - -
Derrick White * 25 1-5 0-3 1-2 3 1 1 3 3 - -
Al Horford * 15 2-4 2-4 0-0 6 1 0 3 6 - -
Malcolm Brogdon 29 6-15 1-7 2-2 3 0 2 2 15 - -
Grant Williams 19 2-7 1-5 2-2 5 0 1 0 7 - -
Robert Williams III 17 4-4 0-0 1-2 5 1 1 1 9 - -
Sam Hauser 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 - -
Luke Kornet 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 - -
Blake Griffin 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

* = starter