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2022-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Detroit Pistons Spread Result
Elo 11.5% 88.5% -
Bradley-Terry 34.8% 65.2% -
Margin 28.9% 71.1% +5.0 (14.0 off)
Pythagorean 63.5% 36.5% -
Efficiency 80.5% 19.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.9% 22.1% -
Log Adjusted 77.9% 22.1% -
Points Off/Def 67.2% 32.8% -

Actual: Detroit Pistons -9 (113-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Domantas Sabonis * 40 9-11 0-1 5-7 13 7 2 1 23 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 39 9-19 0-5 6-9 5 9 1 0 24 - -
Harrison Barnes * 36 5-9 3-4 6-6 7 2 3 0 19 - -
Keegan Murray * 35 7-13 4-6 2-2 2 0 0 0 20 - -
Kevin Huerter * 28 5-9 3-6 0-0 2 4 1 0 13 - -
Malik Monk 25 3-8 0-2 5-5 2 6 0 0 11 - -
Terence Davis 17 4-7 2-5 0-0 0 0 0 0 10 - -
Matthew Dellavedova 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
Chimezie Metu 4 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 - -
Richaun Holmes 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 - -

Detroit Pistons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jalen Duren * 30 5-7 0-0 5-6 14 1 0 1 15 - -
Bojan Bogdanovic * 30 6-16 1-5 9-9 2 2 1 0 22 - -
Killian Hayes * 28 4-10 1-5 2-2 1 4 0 0 11 - -
Isaiah Stewart * 25 4-7 3-5 2-2 7 1 0 0 13 - -
Jaden Ivey * 20 2-9 1-4 0-0 3 5 1 0 5 - -
Saddiq Bey 27 5-11 2-5 2-4 2 0 1 0 14 - -
Alec Burks 24 2-4 0-0 3-5 3 0 0 0 7 - -
Cory Joseph 19 2-7 1-3 1-1 3 5 1 0 6 - -
Marvin Bagley III 17 6-9 0-1 1-2 6 1 1 0 13 - -
Kevin Knox II 16 3-5 1-1 0-0 5 3 2 0 7 - -

* = starter