Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | Charlotte Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.0% | 34.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.9% | 38.1% | -2.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 67.9% | 32.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.5% | 29.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Charlotte Hornets -19 (106-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young * | 33 | 8-18 | 2-5 | 13-14 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 31 | 24 | - | |
| Bogdan Bogdanovic * | 29 | 9-14 | 7-10 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 28 | 24 | - | |
| Trent Forrest * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - | |
| De'Andre Hunter * | 27 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Onyeka Okongwu * | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - | |
| AJ Griffin | 27 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - | |
| Frank Kaminsky | 22 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - | |
| Jalen Johnson | 21 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - | |
| Aaron Holiday | 19 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Jarrett Culver | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - | |
| Tyrese Martin | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Vit Krejci | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Charlotte Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rozier * | 32 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| LaMelo Ball * | 32 | 9-18 | 7-13 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 16 | - | |
| Gordon Hayward * | 28 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - | |
| Mason Plumlee * | 21 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 15 | - | |
| Jalen McDaniels * | 16 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3 | - | |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. | 30 | 5-19 | 3-10 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - | |
| Nick Richards | 22 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 18 | - | |
| JT Thor | 19 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - | |
| Theo Maledon | 15 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Kai Jones | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - | |
| James Bouknight | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Bryce McGowens | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter