Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Memphis Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | +3.2 | ✓ (37.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Grizzlies +41 (142-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Giannis Antetokounmpo * | 25 | 5-13 | 1-3 | 8-13 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 18 | - | |
| Khris Middleton * | 22 | 1-12 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -1 | - | |
| Grayson Allen * | 22 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - | |
| Jevon Carter * | 22 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - | |
| Brook Lopez * | 18 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - | |
| Bobby Portis | 22 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - | |
| MarJon Beauchamp | 21 | 4-9 | 1-6 | 3-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - | |
| George Hill | 20 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - | |
| Jordan Nwora | 15 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - | |
| Thanasis Antetokounmpo | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - | |
| AJ Green | 14 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | - | |
| Pat Connaughton | 14 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Wesley Matthews | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja Morant * | 25 | 9-21 | 2-8 | 5-8 | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 25 | - | |
| Dillon Brooks * | 21 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | - | |
| Steven Adams * | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | - | |
| John Konchar * | 16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - | |
| Jaren Jackson Jr. * | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - | |
| Santi Aldama | 26 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 13 | - | |
| David Roddy | 23 | 7-13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 11 | - | |
| Ziaire Williams | 22 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Tyus Jones | 19 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 12 | - | |
| Brandon Clarke | 15 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - | |
| Kennedy Chandler | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | |
| Xavier Tillman | 12 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - | |
| Jake LaRavia | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter