Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Wizards | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 6.2% | 93.8% | +15.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.3% | 58.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +13 (141-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Washington Wizards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Kuzma * | 35 | 9-16 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 14 | - | |
| Corey Kispert * | 34 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 10 | - | |
| Deni Avdija * | 28 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - | |
| Monte Morris * | 27 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - | |
| Taj Gibson * | 17 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - | |
| Will Barton | 35 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 19 | - | |
| Daniel Gafford | 25 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - | |
| Jordan Goodwin | 20 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Anthony Gill | 11 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - | |
| Devon Dotson | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikola Jokic * | 33 | 17-20 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 43 | 51 | - | |
| Aaron Gordon * | 31 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 20 | - | |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope * | 30 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - | |
| Jamal Murray * | 30 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - | |
| Bruce Brown * | 27 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 15 | - | |
| Bones Hyland | 28 | 8-11 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 21 | - | |
| Christian Braun | 23 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - | |
| Jeff Green | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - | |
| DeAndre Jordan | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - | |
| Davon Reed | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Zeke Nnaji | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - | |
| Vlatko Cancar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Ish Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter