Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 69.8% | 30.2% | -4.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks -15 (90-105). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Stevens * | 38 | 8-15 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 16 | - | |
| Donovan Mitchell * | 37 | 13-20 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 34 | 22 | - | |
| Evan Mobley * | 35 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 19 | - | |
| Jarrett Allen * | 35 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - | |
| Darius Garland * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - | |
| Caris LeVert | 28 | 4-10 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | - | |
| Kevin Love | 16 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - | |
| Isaac Okoro | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - | |
| Isaiah Mobley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Raul Neto | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | |
| Robin Lopez | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Doncic * | 39 | 9-23 | 2-8 | 10-11 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 30 | 20 | - | |
| Spencer Dinwiddie * | 32 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 31 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 25 | 2-8 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - | |
| Christian Wood | 35 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 14 | - | |
| Reggie Bullock | 35 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - | |
| Frank Ntilikina | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | |
| Davis Bertans | 7 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - | |
| Theo Pinson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | |
| Jaden Hardy | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| Tyler Dorsey | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - | |
| McKinley Wright IV | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter