Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Trail Blazers | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 37.4% | 62.6% | +2.8 | ✗ (18.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.4% | 36.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs -16 (112-128). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Trail Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damian Lillard * | 36 | 14-23 | 7-14 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 37 | - | - | |
| Jerami Grant * | 34 | 7-13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Anfernee Simons * | 33 | 9-15 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Josh Hart * | 32 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jusuf Nurkic * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 15 | - | - | |
| Shaedon Sharpe | 23 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Justise Winslow | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Drew Eubanks | 14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - | - | |
| Trendon Watford | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Keon Johnson | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jabari Walker | 3 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keldon Johnson * | 32 | 10-16 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 25 | - | - | |
| Tre Jones * | 25 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Josh Richardson * | 23 | 5-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Keita Bates-Diop * | 23 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Charles Bassey * | 19 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - | - | |
| Devin Vassell | 25 | 4-16 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Gorgui Dieng | 24 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Jeremy Sochan | 21 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Doug McDermott | 21 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Malaki Branham | 7 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Isaiah Roby | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Stanley Johnson | 4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Dominick Barlow | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
* = starter