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2022-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Toronto Raptors Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 42.5% 57.5% - โœ—
Margin 40.7% 59.3% +2.1 โœ— (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 51.7% 48.3% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.4% 52.6% - โœ—

Actual: Toronto Raptors -1 (123-124). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
De'Aaron Fox * 41 9-23 4-8 5-7 6 10 1 0 27 - -
Domantas Sabonis * 40 10-13 0-0 1-1 20 7 1 1 21 - -
Harrison Barnes * 36 4-8 0-4 4-4 8 3 0 0 12 - -
Keegan Murray * 32 4-12 2-8 0-0 4 0 1 1 10 - -
Terence Davis * 24 7-14 5-12 0-0 3 2 0 1 19 - -
Malik Monk 32 6-13 5-10 7-8 3 3 0 0 24 - -
Davion Mitchell 12 1-3 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 - -
Trey Lyles 12 2-4 1-2 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Chimezie Metu 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Richaun Holmes 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -

Toronto Raptors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pascal Siakam * 42 7-19 1-1 4-6 4 6 0 0 19 - -
Scottie Barnes * 39 10-16 2-3 5-6 7 10 0 1 27 - -
Fred VanVleet * 38 13-25 2-8 11-11 8 5 4 1 39 - -
Thaddeus Young * 27 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 6 - -
Gary Trent Jr. * 24 5-9 1-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 11 - -
Juancho Hernangomez 24 2-5 0-3 1-2 5 1 0 0 5 - -
Chris Boucher 17 2-5 0-2 2-2 4 0 1 1 6 - -
Christian Koloko 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 4 - -
Khem Birch 7 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 - -
Dalano Banton 4 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 2 4 - -

* = starter